Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Bogliaccini 2013



Bogliaccini, Juan Ariel. 2013. "Trade Liberalization, Deindustrialization, and Inequality: Evidence from Middle-Income Latin American Countries". Latin American Research Review. 48 (2): 79-105.

  • Introduction
    • article shows that trade liberalization reform played an important role in the destruction of formal employment in industry... (79)
    • ...and a concomitant deindustrialization that increased inequality
  • literature review:
    • two competing arguments to increase in inequality: opening to international trade, and technological improvement (82)
    • this article argues that trade destroyed most job opportunities for lower social groups (83)
    • in every case there was reviewed there was some development of industrial production, usually created through ISI spending
    • with traded openings, these businesses could not compete and shut down
    • this brings into question the theoretical claims behind the liberal model, that new export possibilities would trigger greater industrialization (85)
  • Data and model
    • author expects the destruction of employment to have a negative effect on inequality, and for the effect to increase as liberalization increases (88)
    • author expects inequality to increase less in countries with stronger democratic institutions (89)
  • Results
    • two broad conclusions (90)
      • trade liberalization produced significant destruction of employment in industry
      • the destruction of this employment increased inequality
    • as trade liberalization advanced, formal employment in industry shrank
    • membership in Mercosur rsulted in loss of employment (95)
    • membership in NAFTA resulted in RISE in employment
    • in this model GDP per capita has a NEGATIVE relationship to employment in industry
    • decrease in informal employment increases inequality in the long run, and these variables are not independent of one another over time (96)
    • increase in informal sector is related to increase in inequality (97)
    • increases in GDP per capita are related to increases in inequality my take: financialization?
    • increase in length of time under democracy decreases inequality (98)
  • Conclusions
    • trade reform had a clear and detrimental effects on equality through its fostering of deindustrialization
    • in particular, the Latin American version of liberalization failed to include and alternative welfare structure for coping with the deindustrialization and informalization of their economies

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