Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Luna 2007

Luna, Juan Pablo. 2007. "Frente Amplio and the Crafting of a Social Democratic Alternative in Uruguay". Latin American Politics & Society. 49 (4): 1-30.

  • The electoral success of the left is “built partly on a broad electoral movement that opposes neoliberal reforms and represents losers in this economic model” (3)
  • differences among Left regimes derive from divergent ISI constellations, dissimilar structural reform patterns, and distinct party systems
  • Thus:  each case should be examined with regard to:
    • sociological opportunity structure
    • political opportunity structure
    • partisan adaption
  • Uruguay has an unusual combination of:
    • elite party structure that used ISI
    • political party system that didn’t deinstitutionalize in neoliberal transition
    • FA overcame tradeoffs between factions of party and across classes
    • FA able to keep labor happy, while also extending reach to poor, those usually coopted by clientelistic elite parties
  • Party has moderated, while labor movement as radicalized
    • may be a future issue
  • Data on electoral support for FA by district, class
    • cross-class support in Montevideo,
    • less, but growing support en el campo
  • Sociological opportunity structure
    • FA party for those who want to keep ISI
    • no breakdown of party system, no electoral dealignment
    • FA adopts Batllismo:  social democracy
    • Uruguayans have less faith in market
    • Clientelism of Colorado and Blanco unhelpful after neoliberal belt-tightening
    • As C and B implement neolib, FA gaining votes, do C and B can’t go all the way with neoliberal reforms (trying to keep voters happy!)
    • some areas able to protect their ISI benefits (read: labor), thus not destroyed by neoliberal policies
  • Political Opportunity Structure
    • Fiscal crisis = B and C can’t feed money to political/client machines
    • FA ideology passed on through generations
    • both of which means FA growing, B and C struggling
  • Adaptation patter
    • Fa had larger activist apparatus
      • in the streets!
      • and fomenting in between elections
    • party moderates its views
    • internal decentralization spread the word, got new areas involved in party
    • Asamblea Uruguay and Movimiento de Participación Popular capture FA’s emerging constituency: poor, disaffected
      • AU gets lower class, particularly in the interior
      • MPP is broad, pragmatic
        • also the party of Jose Mujica, another charismatic leader, who would later replace Vazquez as President
  • Final conclusions:
    • strength comes from keeping old constituents (labor), and attracting new ones (poor, but also middle and upper class)
    • HOWEVER, this means party has two divergent factions
      • party attempts to contain discontent within itself
      • FA may have problem satisfying divergent constituents

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